BETHLEHEM, Pa. — Corn planting in the U.S. remains well behind the 5-year average planting pace. As of earlier this week, planting for the major producing states had only reached 23 percent complete, an 8-point advancement from the previous week. However, planting is exactly half of the U.S. five-year average pace of 46 percent and now trails last year’s pace by 13 points.
All of the 18 key producing states currently trail their respective five-year planting rates and one state, South Dakota, has not yet started with planting. The state currently furthest behind is Illinois where frequent rainfall and flooded rivers have been a major problem so far this spring. Planting in the state is only 10 percent complete, a whopping 56 points behind the five-year average of 66 percent. Planting progress just to the east in Indiana isn’t much better. Only 3 percent of the crop has been planted thus far, making only a 1-point advancement since last week.
Indiana’s 5-year planting pace sits around 35 percent for this time of year. Of the “I” states, progress is the best so far in Iowa. Although still behind the average pace by about 15 points., planting in Iowa is 36 percent complete and very similar to the pace of last year. Since last week, progress advanced 15 points — one of the largest week-over-week progressions for the heart of the Corn Belt.
Today, May 9, colder than normal temperatures are expected across much of the Central U.S. For a wide section of the central Plains, temperatures are expected to be 10-15F below normal both today and Friday, with lows dropping near to possibly below freezing for some. This has already prompted a number of Freeze Watches, Freeze Warnings, and Frost Advisories from southeastern South Dakota, through central Nebraska, and into western Kansas and eastern Colorado.
About 2 percent of the planted corn crop in both Colorado and Nebraska have already emerged, and 16 percent of the crop has already emerged in Kansas so these crops could be susceptible to the frost and freeze.
As we head into the weekend, temperatures are expected to continue to trend cooler than normal from the Southwest to the Northeast, but some warmer trends start to move back into the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Temperature trends on Sunday will closely mimic those felt on Saturday but by the start of next week, much warmer than normal conditions are expected to move into the North Central U.S., with warmer trends spreading across the Midwest by mid-week.
During the next seven days, rainfall looks to finally take a bit of a break for the Corn Belt, especially the western portion. Areas of the eastern Corn Belt could still see a couple days with some light rains, but a majority of the moisture is expected to be further to the east and to the south along the Gulf Coast. Today through Saturday, areas from south Texas and along the Gulf Coast have a chance for scattered severe thunderstorms which could bring strong winds, hail and areas of heavy rainfall.
Flash Flood Watches are already in place from southeastern Texas into Louisiana and southern Arkansas from today into Saturday. A good number of rivers in this portion of the country are already at or near flood stage so the added rainfall will exacerbate the existing elevated river levels.
— Weather Trends 360