Colder than normal temperatures are once again in store for the Corn Belt to end the week. The far North Central is forecast to trend more than 15F colder than normal Thursday and Friday (November 9th and 10th), while the rest of the Corn Belt trends at least 5F below normal. Friday will see the coldest trends with many in the Corn Belt and Northeast trending 10-15F below normal. As we head into the weekend the coldest of the temperature trends are expected to shift off to the East Coast, bringing some of the coldest temperatures yet this season. Meanwhile, warmer than normal trends will begin to spread into states like Nebraska and Kansas, while the majority of the Corn Belt still trends several degrees below normal. By early next week, warmer trends are expected to push into the Corn Belt. Temperatures in the region could trend 10-15F warmer than normal for a few days next week. Although the temperature trends are forecast to flip-flop over the next 7 days, rainfall is forecast to be generally drier than normal. Showers are possible on a couple days from Iowa and Missouri to Ohio, but a majority of the next 7 days will be dry.
Drier conditions will aid in advancing corn harvest progress this year. Although harvest made an advancement of 16% since last week, total harvest is still 13% behind the 5-year average and 14% behind last year’s pace. Many core Corn Belt states were able to slightly shrink the gap between this year’s harvest and the 5-year average pace over the last week. While almost all corn-producing states trail in harvest, key states like Iowa were able to move from being 26% behind average last week to 17% behind average this week. North Dakota shrunk its gap from 21% last week to 14% this week, while South Dakota improved from 31% behind average last week to 19% behind average this week. Although Minnesota’s harvest advanced 22% from last week to 60% complete, the state’s pace still trails average by 27%. Harvest progress by next Monday should see favorable advancement for many as this week has been drier than normal for the western and central Corn Belt so far.
In Brazil, soybean planting continues to be on the slower side this year. Across the country, planting is about 43% complete, down from last year’s 53% and the average of 44%. In main-producing state, Mato Grosso, planting is approximately 65% complete – an advance of 20% from the previous week yet still down from last year’s 80%. Progress is varied throughout the state, though. Western Mato Grosso is the most advanced with 92% of the crop in the ground, Central is about 80% complete, but the Northeastern part of the state is only 12% planted. Over the next 7 days, above normal rainfall is expected in Northeastern Mato Grosso and northern and central Goias which should improve planting conditions for farmers in the region. Goias and Northeastern Mato Grosso are both well behind in planting this year due to dry conditions. Goias is only about 10% planted so far, compared to 25% last year.
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