WASHINGTON — Corn harvest in the U.S. advanced 13 percent in the last week to just beyond three quarters complete, trailing the five-year average by about 1 percent. Soybean harvest saw 11 percent progress since last week, reaching 83 percent complete and trailing the 5-year average by about 6 percent. For many in the Central and Upper Plains, the next seven days are forecast to feel much more like winter than early November.
Earlier this week, much colder than normal temperatures from Canada began to spread into northern states such as Montana and the western Dakotas, pushing further into the Plains by mid-week. Today (Thursday, Nov. 8), much of the Central U.S., except for the far south, will trend at least 10-15°F below normal with daytime highs only in the 30s for Nebraska, Iowa and states to their north. These well below normal trends are expected to stick around into early next week.
Even states like Kansas and Missouri could see high temperatures struggle to reach 40°F for a day or two. By the weekend, all the Central and Midwestern U.S. will be experiencing trends at least 10-15°F below normal with many trending >15°F below normal. While these very cold trends will hang around through the start of next week, warmer conditions will begin to spread back into the Plains by mid-week.
With this cold air in place, any precipitation that occurs over the next seven days is very likely to fall as snow. Scattered snow events are possible in parts of the Plains and Midwest through the weekend. Parts of Nebraska, northern Kansas, Iowa, Minnesota, Michigan, Illinois and Indiana could see some flakes fly over the next several days. As the cold trends make their way into the East over the weekend, parts of New England down into western Pennsylvania could also experience snow.
While corn and soybean harvest continue, winter wheat planting and emergence is also making progress. Both planting and emergence of the crop are trailing the 5-year average as of earlier this week. Planting is about six points behind the five-year average at 84 percent complete, with emergence trailing the five-year average by seven points at 70 percent complete.
From the previous week, the amount of winter wheat rated as being in good/excellent condition fell a couple points which allowed prices to firm a bit. Kansas and Oklahoma, two main producing states for winter wheat in the U.S., currently trail their respective five-year average planting rates by more than 10 percent. With winter weather already knocking in early November, it is possible that some farmers may not plant all of their intended acreage this year.
For more WeatherTrends360, click here.